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Who will become the champion of ESL One Germany 2020?

Dota 2
Published at: 2020-11-01 09:22:32

ESL One Germany 2020 has been going on for almost a month now. This tournament brought a lot of sensations, and the first time in a while, ??Team Secret won't become the champion of the European tournament. Tonight, in the BO5 format, the Grand Final between ??Natus Vincere and ??Team Liquid will take place. But which of them is stronger? Let's try to compare these teams in several game aspects!


Teamwork


The first aspect of comparing is teamwork. We'll see how long the players have been playing together.


??Natus Vincere is the former FlyToMoon. Almost the entire team has been playing together since February this year. There was only one change during this time: ??ALOHADANCE left the team, and ??Rodjer came instead.


The updated roster of ??Team Liquid was assembled in October last year and has not changed since then. Moreover, before that, all five players played under the ??Alliance banner for a long time.


So in this aspect, ??Team Liquid has an advantage.


Personal skill


To compare the teams by this aspect, consider the TOP-10 players with the highest average KDA in this tournament. Each of them played almost the same number of maps, which means that this comparison will be fair.



There are two members of ??Natus Vincere on the list. Besides, its carry ??V-tune tops the list with 8.75 KDA. And there is only one player from ??Team Liquid on this list, so ??Natus Vincere gets a deserved advantage.


Hero pool


Here we take a look at the teams' drafts in this tournament and compare whose hero pool is wider.


If you take ??Natus Vincere's games at this tournament, then their drafts are based on the meta characters of the 7.27 patch. Several times the team tried to experiment and took heroes like Puck and Pugna but lost those maps.



??Team Liquid's drafts are more flexible and rely less on the meta: in this tournament, the team played Huskar, Visage, Invoker, Lone Druid, and Dragon Knight, and more importantly, won the maps where it selected them.



On the one hand, we can say that ??Team Liquid has a larger pool of heroes and can surprise their opponent. On the other hand, ??Natus Vincere has honed the meta characters so well that their Win Rate at ESL One Germany 2020 is 68%. In this aspect, it isn't easy to give an advantage to a particular team.


Head-to-head confrontation


The teams have already met in the group stage of ESL One Germany 2020, and ??Team Liquid won with a 2-1 score last time.



It should be noted that this match took place in the second round of the Swiss system, where the teams already had one victory each. In that match, ??Natus Vincere easily won the first map, but ??Team Liquid took the second and third maps, and each of them lasted over 42 minutes.



If you take all aspects, you can see that both teams are worthy of each other and are rightfully in the Grand Final, but ??Team Liquid has a little more advantages. And which team of the confrontation between ??Natus Vincere and ??Team Liquid will actually be the stronger, we will see today. The final meeting between the teams will start at 16:00 GMT.


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